Prediction Updated: Sunday May 4, 2025
| SIMULATION RESULTS | ||
|---|---|---|
|
Heavyweight
Jailton Almeida 27% |
WIN PROBABILITY Percent chance each fighter has to win |
Heavyweight
Tom Aspinall 38% |
| RATINGS | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A+ | 99 | Performance | 98 | A+ | ||
| A+ | 97 | Power | 99 | A+ | ||
|
A
|
95
|
Offensive |
94
|
A
| ||
|
A+
|
98
|
Defensive |
99
|
A+
| ||
| RANKINGS | ||
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Performance | 2 |
| 3 | Power | 1 |
| 5 | Offensive | 6 |
| 2 | Defensive | 1 |
| RECORDS | ||
|---|---|---|
| 8-1 (88.9%) | Overall | 8-1 (88.9%) |
| 0-1 (0%) | Versus Current Top 10 | 4-1 (80%) |
| 6-1 (85.7%) | Versus > .500 Fighters | 6-1 (85.7%) |
| 2-0 (100%) | Versus < .500 Fighters | 2-0 (100%) |
| 4-1 (80%) | Last 5 Fights | 4-1 (80%) |
| SUPERLATIVES | ||
|---|---|---|
| Heavyweight #12 Serghei Spivac (8-5) 2025-01-18 UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano Round 1 KO/TKO Punches | Best Win | Heavyweight #7 Alexander Volkov (12-5) 2022-03-19 UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Aspinall Round 1 SUB Straight Armbar |
| Heavyweight #8 Curtis Blaydes (13-5) 2024-03-09 UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 Round 2 KO/TKO Punches | Worst Loss | Heavyweight #8 Curtis Blaydes (13-5) 2022-07-23 UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall Round 1 KO/TKO |
| OTHER STATISTICS | ||
|---|---|---|
| 7 (77.8%) | Finishes | 8 (88.9%) |
| 3 (33.3%) | KOs | 6 (66.7%) |
| 4 (44.4%) | Submissions | 2 (22.2%) |
| 1 (11.1%) | Decisions | 0 (0%) |
| 67-45 | Opponent Record | 95-63 |
| 20.1 | Average Opponent Rank | 14.6 |
| W 6 | Long Streak | W 5 |
| W 2 | Current Streak | W 3 |
| LAST 5 FIGHTS | ||
|---|---|---|
| W 2025-01-18 Heavyweight #12 Serghei Spivac (8-5) Round 1 KO/TKO Punches UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano |
W 2024-07-27 Heavyweight #8 Curtis Blaydes (13-5) Round 1 KO/TKO Punch UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 |
|
| W 2024-06-01 Heavyweight #14 Alexandr Romanov (7-3) Round 1 SUB Rear Naked Choke UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier |
W 2023-11-11 Heavyweight #10 Sergei Pavlovich (7-3) Round 1 KO/TKO Punch UFC 295: Prochazka vs. Pereira |
|
| L 2024-03-09 Heavyweight #8 Curtis Blaydes (13-5) Round 2 KO/TKO Punches UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 |
W 2023-07-22 Heavyweight #9 Marcin Tybura (14-8) Round 1 KO/TKO Punch UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura |
|
| W 2023-11-04 Heavyweight #18 Derrick Lewis (19-10) Round 5 U-DEC UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs. Lewis |
L 2022-07-23 Heavyweight #8 Curtis Blaydes (13-5) Round 1 KO/TKO UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall |
|
| W 2023-05-13 Heavyweight #17 Jairzinho Rozenstruik (9-6) Round 1 SUB Rear Naked Choke UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida |
W 2022-03-19 Heavyweight #7 Alexander Volkov (12-5) Round 1 SUB Straight Armbar UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Aspinall |
|